Instead of guessing outcomes, you’re seeing the full probability distribution of what is most likely to happen.
Your edge comes from comparing these true probabilities vs bookmaker odds.
Match Simulations
Sim Cards
Sim Cards directly compare DataGaffer’s simulated probabilities and implied odds against bookmaker odds across multiple markets. This includes win %, team totals, match totals, and BTTS.
Instead of guessing where value might be, this shows you exactly where the market is mispriced based on 10,000 simulations.
→ Use this to identify value bets where our probability is higher than the book implies.
Full Time
Full Time projections show the expected output of the match across all key stats: goals, corners, shots, shots on target, and cards.
This defines the overall environment of the game — whether it will be high-scoring, slow, aggressive, or open.
→ Use this to shape your entire bet: overs/unders, corners, and match tempo.
First Half
First Half projections isolate only the opening 45 minutes using the same simulation model. It highlights which teams start fast and which games build slowly.
Many matches have completely different first-half vs full-time profiles — this helps you exploit that.
→ Best for first-half overs, early goals, and fast-start teams.
Goal Zone
Goal Zone focuses entirely on scoring probabilities — for teams, matches, and individual players. It breaks down likelihoods for goals, BTTS, and scoring outcomes.
This is where you understand how often goals should actually happen — not just averages.
→ Use for BTTS, Over 2.5/3.5, and goalscorer markets.
Corner Zone
Corner Zone projects total corners and team corner output based on playstyle, pressure, and match flow. It also includes assist probability driven by attacking involvement.
Corners are highly dependent on tempo and dominance — this captures both.
→ Use for corner overs and assist-based props.
Shots Zone
Shots Zone projects total shots and shots on target for both teams and players. It reflects volume, attacking intent, and match pace.
This is one of the most stable predictive stats in football.
→ Best for player shots, SOT props, and identifying high-volume attackers.
Player Sims
Player Sims runs full simulations for individual players across all major stats: goals, assists, shots, SOT, passes, tackles, and cards.
It shows true probabilities — not just averages — for player performance.
→ Use to find undervalued player props and high-probability outcomes.
Outlook
Outlook is a full summary of the day’s slate combining all simulation outputs into one view. It highlights the most important matches, trends, and projections.
This is designed for speed — everything in one place without digging through pages.
→ Use for quick decisions and identifying the best games instantly.
Simulation Tools
Probability
Shows true probability percentages and converts them into implied odds for every market.
This removes guesswork and lets you directly compare your edge vs bookmaker pricing.
→ If our probability is higher than the book, you have value.
Matchup Score
Combines multiple signals into four key scores: Pace score (goal environment), Venue score (home/away dominance), Probability score (highest goal probability matches), and Value score (edge vs odds).
It simplifies complex data into an easy-to-read matchup profile.
→ Quickly identify high-scoring games, dominant teams, and value spots.
xG Performance
Measures attacking and defensive “luck” by comparing expected goals vs actual results. It highlights teams overperforming or underperforming their chances.
Also includes goal timing data to show when goals are most likely to occur.
→ Find teams due to score more (positive regression) or concede more (defensive regression).
Correct Score
Generates the most likely scorelines using Poisson distributions and Dixon-Coles adjustments.
Instead of one prediction, you see the full range of realistic outcomes.
→ Use to understand match scripts and is best for 1x2 bets.
Betting Tools
Head2Head
Historical matchup data including team vs team, manager vs manager, and player trends.
Adds long-term context to simulation outputs.
→ Use to confirm trends or identify consistent matchup patterns.
Insights
Recent form trends and playstyle-based insights (last 6 matches).
Highlights patterns like performance vs specific styles or tempo profiles.
→ Find hidden edges the market often misses.
Lineups
Predicted lineups and heatmaps based on pressure, possession, and team tendencies.
Lineups are one of the biggest drivers of match outcomes.
→ Always check before betting — lineup changes can completely shift projections.
Value Finder
Scans multiple markets to compare DataGaffer implied odds vs bookmaker odds.
Automatically highlights where pricing is inefficient.
→ Direct value detection across all bets.
Top Edges
Shows the strongest value plays for each match based on simulation edge.
This is your highest-confidence shortlist.
→ Fastest way to find your best bets of the day.
Parlay Builder
Allows you to build parlays while comparing DataGaffer odds vs bookmaker odds. Also includes pre-built parlays (safe and aggressive).
Helps avoid overpriced legs and improve long-term ROI.
→ Build smarter parlays with real value.